Category Archives: Probabilistic Medical Reasoning and Clinical Decision-making

Use of Probability in Clinical Diagnosis

I am happy to see this note from the website of John Hopkins Breast Cancer.  In particular, I am happy to see the word “probability.”  It jibes with my usual practice of giving estimates of probability or certainty of clinical … Continue reading

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Probability Estimation of Clinical Diagnosis

In 2016, January 15, I asked this question or posted this challenge in one of my blogs: https://rojosonmedicalclinic.wordpress.com/2016/01/15/probabilistic-medical-reasoning-and-clinical-decision-making/ Challenge: is there a systematic way of calculating subjective probability?  Am looking for one. Subjective probability is a probability derived from an … Continue reading

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Possibility vs Probability – ROJoson’s Notes

POSSIBILITY VS PROBABILITY ROJoson’s Notes: – Anything is possible! Probability can either be more likely or more unlikely. – “Possibility” means something may happen, but we don’t know how likely. “Probability” means something may happen, but we believe it is … Continue reading

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Is it possible? What is the probability?

In medicine, patients almost always ask (physicians) using the word “possible”: Is it possible this and that is the true diagnosis? Is it possible to see this and that in the diagnostic test? Is it possible that the diagnostic test … Continue reading

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Probabilistic Medical Reasoning

Medical Decision Making: Probabilistic Medical Reasoning The importance of probability in medical decision making was noted as long ago as 1922: “…good medicine does not consist in the indiscriminate application of laboratory examinations to a patient, but rather in having … Continue reading

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Probabilistic Medical Reasoning and Clinical Decision-making

Probabilistic Medical Reasoning and Clinical Decision-making Medicine is the science of uncertainty and art of probability. Medicine is full of uncertainty to the point that there is no absolute certainty in all diagnoses from clinical, procedural and laboratory diagnostic (blood … Continue reading

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